ACUS02 KWNS 131649
SWODY2
SPC AC 131647

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1147 AM CDT Sun Oct 13 2024

Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms remain possible across portions of the Four Corners
and the Great Lakes tomorrow (Monday).

...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will amplify across the eastern half of the CONUS
as an embedded mid-level impulse pivots around the trough over the
MS Valley tomorrow (Monday). A mid-level cut-off low will also
meander over the Four Corners region. As the aforementioned
mid-level impulse overspreads the Great Lakes, cooler temperatures
aloft atop warm waters will support near-dry adiabatic lapse rates,
which may support deep-enough convection to foster a few lightning
flashes (especially over water). Cooler temperatures aloft will also
support enough buoyancy (albeit scant) over the higher terrain of
the Four Corners region, with isolated lightning flashes possible
when also considering orographic lift.

..Squitieri.. 10/13/2024

$$

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