ACUS11 KWNS 091714
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 091713=20
FLZ000-091845-

Mesoscale Discussion 2140
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1213 PM CDT Wed Oct 09 2024

Areas affected...Southwestern Florida

Concerning...Tornado Watch 690...

Valid 091713Z - 091845Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 690 continues.

SUMMARY...Tornado threat to continue over the next few hours. A
strong tornado or two is possible.

DISCUSSION...A convective band associated with Hurricane Milton
continues to track inland across the southwestern Florida peninsula.
Ongoing supercells have produced confirmed tornado near Ft. Myers.
Further cell development continues on the southern flank of this
band tracking northward into a more favorable SRH environment
sampled from the the VAD profile at TBW (Tampa, FL). A strong
thermal gradient remains in place across the southern Florida
Peninsula with MLCAPE around 1000-2000 J/kg amid temperatures in the
upper 70s to 80s. Expect continued potential for tornadoes, a few of
which may be strong, to continue through the afternoon.

..Thornton/Smith.. 10/09/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7sE_wsDnHVG0sowb_3LJoApMasH702tEvW20ftFHRKOZmIEmaIGJOuoQ8omhSfEC1PfoByEuu=
MjEkm5qE6yAEmecfK4$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...TBW...

LAT...LON   26108120 25818129 25938169 26188196 26458221 26778242
            27018256 27268267 27518266 27648266 27698254 27698225
            27598199 26948139 26108120=20


=3D =3D =3D
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