ACUS02 KWNS 091706
SWODY2
SPC AC 091704

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1204 PM CDT Wed Oct 09 2024

Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN A PART OF THE
FL EAST COAST...

...SUMMARY...
A brief tornado or two remains possible during the late morning
Thursday along the east-central to northeast Florida coast.

...FL Peninsula...
Latest NHC forecast has Milton approaching the Space Coast at 12Z
Thursday. Convective bands, outside of the inner core near the
center, will likely be offshore of the FL Peninsula by this time.
This appears to be a highly consistent signal across the 12Z HREF
and experimental CAM guidance. As such, tornado potential related to
Milton will be substantially diminished by mid-morning tomorrow, and
may already by negligible by the start of the D2 period. A
low-probability brief tornado risk might linger for a few hours into
late morning, where low-level SRH remains enlarged to the northeast
of the center, along a portion of the east-central to northeast
coast. Farther south, increasingly warm/dry mid-levels coupled with
veered low-level flow suggest the tornado threat will remain
negligible.

..Grams.. 10/09/2024

$$

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