ACUS02 KWNS 071702
SWODY2
SPC AC 071701

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1201 PM CDT Mon Oct 07 2024

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND KEYS LATE TUESDAY INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY...

...SUMMARY...
An isolated tornado threat, associated with Hurricane Milton, may
develop Tuesday night into Wednesday morning across the central and
southern Florida Peninsula and the Keys.

...Florida...

No changes have been made to the Marginal risk (level 1 of 5) across
parts of the FL Peninsula and Keys on Tuesday into early Wednesday.

Major Hurricane Milton is forecast by the National Hurricane Center
to track northeast on Tuesday, coming closer to the FL west coast by
the end of period/Wednesday morning. As the system develops
northeast across the eastern Gulf, strengthening low and midlevel
southerly flow will overspread the Keys into the southern/central
Peninsula, mainly after the 03z-06z time frame. As this occurs,
low-level SRH will increase, resulting in enlarged and favorably
curved hodographs and supporting rotation within cells in the far
outer bands of Milton. Surface dewpoints in the mid 70s F are
already in place, and will provide sufficient low-level instability
to support the potential for a couple of tornadoes late Tuesday
night into early Wednesday.

..Leitman.. 10/07/2024

$$

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