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from: Mike Powell
date: 2024-09-29 09:56:00
subject: TS Joyce Forecast to Weak

574
WTNT31 KNHC 291438
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Joyce Advisory Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL112024
1100 AM AST Sun Sep 29 2024

...JOYCE FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON MONDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.6N 48.5W
ABOUT 975 MI...1570 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Joyce was
located near latitude 21.6 North, longitude 48.5 West. Joyce is
moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue today with a turn toward the north
anticipated on Monday and Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Joyce is likely to start weakening later today and could become a
tropical depression on Monday and a remnant low on Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Blake
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