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echo: barktopus
to: John Beamish
from: Rich Gauszka
date: 2006-10-30 19:25:38
subject: Re: Mid-term predictions - enter early, enter often

From: "Rich Gauszka" 

FWIW - The Iowa Electronic Markets have a reputation for being fairly
accurate in Election Markets/Trading

'The Iowa Electronic Markets are operated by faculty at the University of
Iowa Henry B. Tippie College of Business as part of our research and
teaching mission. These markets are small-scale, real-money futures markets
where contract payoffs depend on economic and political events such as
elections.'

http://www.biz.uiowa.edu/iem/markets/

http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/WebEx/marketinfo_english.cfm?Market_ID=145


"John Beamish"  wrote in message
news:op.th8v14c2m6tn4t{at}dellblack.wlfdle.phub.net.cable.rogers.com...
> Senate - 33 seats being contested - 6 net switches to Democrats needed for
> control to switch
>    Democrats 44 (defending 17)
>    Republicans 55 (defending 15)
>    Independent 1 (not running)
>
> Representatives - 435 being contested - 15 net switches to Democrats
> needed for control to switch
>    Democrats 202
>    Republicans 232
>    Independent 1
>
> In the time-honoured tradition of Canopus/Homeless --
>
> 1.  Senate final standing prediction:  Dem/Rep/Ind (three numbers must
> total 100)
> 2.  House final standing prediciton:  Dem/Rep/Ind (three numbers must
> total 435)

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