From: Phil Payne 

> Fact is, Bush can't wait to get his troops out of Iraq and would pull them
out
> tomorrow if he could do that without guaranteeing that even people like Geo
> wouldn't see it as an admission of defeat. If Bush is re-elected, expect the
> interim government to "request" the removal of troops and
gone they will be.
> Bush can't possibly keep troops in harm's way during the quasi civil war that
> will undoubtedly occur.

I have never felt so blind as I am now.  I just cannot see Iraq's future
beyond the immediate few weeks, no matter what Washington scenario I
assume.  With great certainty, the bunch now supposedly "in
power" have a half-life measured in weeks at the most - once the
presidential race gets into its endgame almost anything could happen in
Iraq - there is an excess of players with an excess of capabilities.

Not something I would like to call.  My biggest problem is that there's
someone out there with greater local knowledge than me and possibly a
greater intellect - OBL.  He may yet achieve his caliphate.

--
  Phil Payne
  http://www.isham-research.com
  +44 7785 302 803
  +49 173 6242039

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