From: jeff 

Adam Flinton wrote:
> Gary Wiltshire wrote:
>
>> On Tue, 26 Oct 2004 07:11:13 +0100, Adam Flinton
>>   wrote:
>>
>>> Gary Wiltshire wrote:
>>>
>>>> On Mon, 25 Oct 2004 23:47:40 +0100, Adam Flinton
>>>>   wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>>> The only reason a country has invested (in the
past) in rockets
>>>>>>> is   when  they have a serious explosive
payload to deliver.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Adam
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>   That's news to the Japanese, who have their own
launch capacity.
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> & their own nuclear power plants & the ability
to assemble weapons
>>>>> if   required (e.g by North Korea or China).
>>>>>
>>>>> In fact, in a similar postion to the Brazilians or the Iranians.
>>>>>
>>>>> Most possibly much further along in many ways
(certainly than the
>>>>> Iranians).
>>>>>
>>>>> Adam
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>   Actually I expect Japan, Taiwan and South Korea to go nuclear,
>>>> especially  if Kerry wins.
>>>>
>>>
>>> it has nothing to do with who is the US president. China is becoming
>>> the  predominant power in the area & they will set the pace.
>>>
>>> Adam
>>
>>
>>
>> Do you see Kerry moving to defend Taiwan if China invades?  I don't
>> think  so and I'm reasonably sure the Taiwanese don't either.  Ditto
>> for the  other two.
>>
>
> I don't see Bush doing it either. There is only one way for the US to
> defend Taiwan & that is via nukes.
>
>
> Adam

Oh, sticking a couple aircraft carriers and a a few submarines has done the
trick in the past.

The Chinese know that if they take those out... they are going to have even
less usable real estate than they started with.

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