| TIP: Click on subject to list as thread! | ANSI |
| echo: | |
|---|---|
| to: | |
| from: | |
| date: | |
| subject: | Re: Bettors for Kerry? |
From: "Glenn Meadows"
I thought the exit polls ended around noon, according to reports I heard
last night. They also MISSED all the early voters in states where that's
done. I personally might object to giving info as to who I voted for, or
giving incorrect information.
I'm going to start a new thread on ideas on how to IMPROVE the election,
all within the confines of what's currently defined in the constitution.
--
Glenn M.
"Robert G Lewis" wrote in message
news:418923b5{at}w3.nls.net...
> That would also make sense , although I don't think the Bush voters were
> that relaxed
>
> Bob Lewis
> "jeff" wrote in message
> news:41892371{at}w3.nls.net...
> > One suggestion I saw was that an angry voter was an early voter - so the
> > early exit polls caught a disproportionate share of angry Kerry voters.
> >
> > The relaxed Bush voters wandered in later.
> >
> > Robert G Lewis wrote:
> >> "Richard B." wrote in message
> >> news:kmtho017kedob376a3ic3p5ftdosef23jp{at}4ax.com...
> >>
> >>>On Wed, 03 Nov 2004 09:00:01 -0500, Mike N.
> >>>wrote:
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>>How could they be so far off?
> >>>
> >>>I think it was the bad exit polling data, which had Kerry up in many
> >>>places.
> >>>
> >>>- Richard
> >>
> >>
> >> http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2004_11/005075.php
> >>
> >> XIT POLLS....The CNN guys were blathering on a few minutes ago about
how
> >> the exit polls were screwy once again this year, and wondering whether
> >> they could ever be trusted again. And it's true that some of the early
> >> exit polls were off by several percentage points.
> >>
> >> But those were early exit polls, and everyone knows they have a fairly
> >> high margin of error. So I just made a cursory check of the final exit
> >> polls and compared them to the final vote - and guess what? They were
> >> pretty close: within one point for the national vote (which had an MOE
of
> >> about 1%) and within a couple of points for the state polls (which had
an
> >> MOE of 2-4% depending on the state). In other words, they were all
within
> >> the statistical margin of error.
> >>
> >> So what's the problem? Sampling error is irreducible, so there's no way
> >> the exit polls could have been any better than they were. What's all
the
> >> griping about?
> >>
> >>
> >>
> >> I think the early results were wrong but I'd glad that the final exit
> >> polls were close. If there were a large difference there would be far
> >> more questions about the vote.
> >>
> >> Bob Lewis
> >>
>
--- BBBS/NT v4.01 Flag-5
* Origin: Barktopia BBS Site http://HarborWebs.com:8081 (1:379/45)SEEN-BY: 633/267 270 5030/786 @PATH: 379/45 1 633/267 |
|
| SOURCE: echomail via fidonet.ozzmosis.com | |
Email questions or comments to sysop@ipingthereforeiam.com
All parts of this website painstakingly hand-crafted in the U.S.A.!
IPTIA BBS/MUD/Terminal/Game Server List, © 2025 IPTIA Consulting™.