From: John Cuccia 

On Sat, 13 Nov 2004 14:51:09 -0800, "Bruce Biermann"
 wrote:

>John Cuccia wrote:
>> I don't know who is going to win this election, but "people willing to
>> risk their money" have been touted as a more reliable barometer than
>> traditional polls.  The President has been slightly better than even
>> money to win for months, but tonight the gamblers have made John Kerry
>> 3-to-1 favorite.  If you want to look, you'll need patience.  The site
>> is overloaded.
>
>I've been off-line for a few weeks, but this message caught my interest.
>(So did Bill Lucy's.)   www.tradesports.com was right on the money, so to
>speak, calling every state correctly and every senate race except for
>Alaska.
>
>The nonsense that occurred on tradesports during November 2nd was due to
>Saros, or someone using his account, betting wildly, possibly trying to take
>the website down.  (The website was down for a few minutes on election day.)
>That little attempt probably cost him a few million dollars.

You can't seriously think it was Soros?

It was surely the early exit polls that caused people to start betting
heavily on Kerry.    I watched the site that afternoon and say the
money swing to Kerry soon after the early polls were published on-line, and
then swing back to Bush when the networks started reporting vote counts
that didn't match the exit polls.

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