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echo: barktopus
to: Jeff Shultz
from: Adam Flinton
date: 2004-11-09 13:16:04
subject: Re: Human cost of Iraq

From: Adam Flinton 

Jeff Shultz wrote:

> The Lancet study has already been discredited - fairly easily, too.
>
> http://www.slate.com/id/2108887/
>
> The authors of a peer-reviewed study, conducted by a survey team from
> Johns Hopkins University, claim that about 100,000 Iraqi civilians have
> died as a result of the war. Yet a close look at the actual study,
> published online today by the British medical journal the Lancet, reveals
> that this number is so loose as to be meaningless.
>

It is a statistical result. It could be 8K & it could be 192K equalyy
easily. 100K is the middle of the curve.

Adam


> On Fri, 29 Oct 2004 15:26:35 +0100, Adam Flinton wrote:
>
>
>>http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/3964311.stm
>>
>>"The UK Government will "examine with very great
care" claims 100,000
>>Iraqi civilians have died as a result of the US-led invasion, Jack Straw
>>has said.
>>
>>A study in the Lancet said the majority of the victims were women and
>>children.
>>
>>The UK foreign secretary told BBC's Today that another independent
>>estimate of civilian deaths was around 15,000.
>>
>>The Lancet admitted the research was based on a small sample - under 1,000
>>Iraqi households - but said the findings were "convincing".
>>
>>The study by US and Iraq researchers was led by Johns Hopkins Bloomberg
>>School of Public Health, Baltimore, US.
>>
>>It said poor planning, air strikes by coalition forces and a "climate of
>>violence" had led to the deaths in Iraq.
>>
>>The risk of death from violence for civilians in Iraq was now 58 times
>>higher than before the war, it said. "
>>
>>Adam
>
>

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