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echo: ufo
to: RON TAYLOR
from: GEORGE JIRI OPLETAL
date: 1997-12-22 16:59:00
subject: Skeptic`s corner.

 RT> GJO> RT> FA> Every heard of statistical probabilities....
 RT> GJO> RT> If we are to use statistical probabilities we must admit that 
out
 RT> of
 RT> > RT> the literally millions of UFO sightings, thousands of encounters
 RT> of
 RT> > RT> various kinds, and alien visitations over the eons that have been
 RT> > RT> reported, at least ONE piece of tangible alien evidence would
 RT> have
 RT> > RT> been found, preserved and made public. No government is big
 RT> enough,
 RT> > RT> smart enough, and quick enough to suppress it all that well this
 RT> > RT> long.
 RT> But its the _volume_ of sightings that make up the numbers that UFO
 RT> believers depend on for their "law of statistics"  (They all can't
 RT> be wrong.. remember?). Why are believers allowed to use these
 RT> statistics when skeptics aren't?
 Skeptics can and its a valid arguement.  I would agree that a very high 
percentage of these sighting are natural phenomena or objects of human 
construction.  Regarding footage taken of U.F.O's, I've seen plenty, and I 
yet I could not tell you whether they were real or not.  Footage has been 
shown before on television, yet the public does not give a damn.  Take for 
example the alien autopsy films.  Although I do not believe them to be real, 
there has been not real arguement to suggest that they are fake, yet the 
public does not really care.  Until congressmen start receive waves of 
requests for information they are not going to damage their reputation.  Thus 
in the case of U.F.O footage, even if a real U.F.O was shown of tv, I doubt 
it would change a thing.
       Regarding crashed discs, although I have not looked into the matter 
sufficiently to makeup my mind, the numbers I've heard have been below 10. So 
physical evidence would naturally be hard to come by.
       Anyhow, I'm as lost in this field as anybody else....I doubt my self 
one day and then convince myself the next.  The doubt is due to the shear 
difficult to believe such a event could occur, but then I read government 
reports on the increadible things their field units have 
observered....reports which the government would tell you were produced by 
them.
--- FMail 1.22
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* Origin: Beyond Reality: UFO/Paranormal Archives (03) 9773-3721 (3:632/562)

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