From: Adam <""4thwormcastfromthemolehill\"{at}the field.near
the bridge">

Monte Davis wrote:
> Adam  wrote:
>
>> The
>> chances of the Sunni (whether Baathist, AQ or some bizarre alliance of
>> the 2) taking power is minimal.
>
> If you draw a dotted line around Iraq, yes.

I have a book signed by Glubb Pasha.

The Hashemi should control Iraq up to kurdistan, jordan (Inc
"Trans-Jordan" & large chunks of Saudi (including the 2 holy
cities).

But hey.

> But they may well convince
> themselves that if they keep up the fight, something will turn up to
> bring more support from Sunni neighbors, or even pull said neighbors
> (who don't want their own Shi'a feeling vicariously chuffed) into it.
> That was how S.H. tried to brand his attack on Iran: "I'm not doing
> this for Khuzestan, I'm the champion of all true Islam against the
> heretic scum in Tehran..." Think Paisley.
>

Hum. Their chances for power in a unified Iraq are poor. They might take
Anbar & the bit twixt Baghdad & Jordan/Saudi but there's bugger all
there (esp bugger all oil).




> (Speaking of convoluted and self-serving rationales, I'm going to miss
> Ian Richardson. Time to order the Urquhart cycle from Netflix again.)
>

You may say that, I couldn't possibly comment.



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