On 09/01/2021 14:19, A. Dumas wrote:
> Jan Panteltje wrote:
>> Later ... we had the Chernobyl fallout, and where I worked the filters in
>> the aircos were hot (radiation) and had to be properly disposed.
>> That made me want to measure things, by that time I lost my nuculear fear
btw,
>> But nobody died, vegetables in your garden you were not recommended to eat.
>
> From "Int. J. Cancer: 119, 1224–1235 (2006)" via
>
https://d1wqtxts1xzle7.cloudfront.net/44334601/Estimates_of_the_cancer_burden_i
n_Europe20160402-19341-ugwo1h.pdf
>
> "The risk projections suggest that by now Chernobyl may have caused about
> 1,000 cases of thyroid cancer and 4,000 cases of other cancers in Europe,
> representing about 0.01% of all incident cancers since the accident. Models
> pre- dict that by 2065 about 16,000 (95% UI 3,400–72,000) cases of thy-
> roid cancer and 25,000 (95% UI 11,000–59,000) cases of other can- cers may
> be expected due to radiation from the accident, whereas several hundred
> million cancer cases are expected from other causes. Although these
> estimates are subject to considerable uncertainty, they provide an
> indication of the order of magnitude of the possible impact of the
> Chernobyl accident. It is unlikely that the cancer bur- den from the
> largest radiological accident to date could be detected by monitoring
> national cancer statistics. Indeed, results of analyses of time trends in
> cancer incidence and mortality in Europe do not, at present, indicate any
> increase in cancer rates—other than of thyroid cancer in the most
> contaminated regions—that can be clearly attributed to radiation from the
> Chernobyl accident."
>
There was a recent study in the UK suggesting air pollution (not
nuclear) caused 36,000 deaths a year in just the UK.
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