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echo: barktopus
to: George Sherwood
from: Adam Flinton
date: 2005-06-29 00:18:56
subject: Re: 65USD pb oil?

From: Adam Flinton 

George Sherwood wrote:
> On Tue, 28 Jun 2005 07:08:35 +0100, Adam Flinton wrote:
>
>
>>Oh terrific.
>>
>>Ngorno Karabakh part 2. Problem is that now they've laid down that
>>pipeline.....it's a stonking great target for the Armenians.
>>
>>Also I have the feeling that things are just too tense in the kavkaz for
>>the big powers to allow much of a scrap.
>>
>>Ah well let's see what happens in October/November. Whatcha reckon? An
>>extension of the rose/orange revolution or more like Uzbekistan?
>
>
> If I had the answer to that I would be very popular at work. 



What do the spread betters say ? 



> I do
> think it will look more like rose/orange then Uzbekistan. Of course Aliyev
> thinks it will be neither:
>


I really hope so (A) It's close to Georgia so the locals should have full
knowledge of the rose revolution & (B) An unpopular gov following a
stolen election might attempt to divert via hostilities against Armenia
which wouldn't be helpfull.

> http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L28621594.htm
>
> The Azeri government (unlike Uzbek) has enough money to really help the
> population.  This could really slow down the opposition, if they
> choose to take this path.
>

Yeeessss......assuming the cash ain't sent to ParadePlatz in Zurich.

Also buying votes at election time ain't unknown in the area.

Here have a new tractor ...if you vote for the gov....

M'self I reckon it's the opposition's to lose & the gov's to f*ck up.
both the rose & orange etc were kick started by fraudulent elections.

Ah the balmy south caspian as autumn gathers...

Adam

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