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echo: barktopus
to: Adam Flinton
from: George Sherwood
date: 2005-06-28 16:08:26
subject: Re: 65USD pb oil?

From: George Sherwood 

On Tue, 28 Jun 2005 07:08:35 +0100, Adam Flinton wrote:

> Oh terrific.
>
> Ngorno Karabakh part 2. Problem is that now they've laid down that
> pipeline.....it's a stonking great target for the Armenians.
>
> Also I have the feeling that things are just too tense in the kavkaz for
> the big powers to allow much of a scrap.
>
> Ah well let's see what happens in October/November. Whatcha reckon? An
> extension of the rose/orange revolution or more like Uzbekistan?

If I had the answer to that I would be very popular at work.   I
do think it will look more like rose/orange then Uzbekistan. Of course
Aliyev thinks it will be neither:

http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L28621594.htm

The Azeri government (unlike Uzbek) has enough money to really help the
population.  This could really slow down the opposition, if they choose to
take this path.

George

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