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| subject: | Re: Iraqi poll surprise? |
From: "Rich Gauszka"
The whole idea of doing a poll like this is to show current attitudes of
the Iraqi populace. There's too wide a swing with both polls. I'm not
saying any of the polls is absolutely correct but I would think that the
ABC/BBC poll may be closer to reality - just from the interviews I've seen
on our local news with the Iraqi expatriates in the metro Detroit area.
"Gary Britt" wrote in
message news:45ff0d8a$1{at}w3.nls.net...
> The two polls aren't mutually exclusive. They could both be quite
> correct.
>
> Gary
>
> Rich Gauszka wrote:
>> "Adam"
<""4thwormcastfromthemolehill\"{at}the field.near the
bridge"> wrote
>> in message news:45fda05f{at}w3.nls.net...
>>> Richard B. wrote:
>>>> On Sun, 18 Mar 2007 09:24:14 -0400, "Rich Gauszka"
>>>> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/iraq/article1530762.ece
>>>>> MOST Iraqis believe life is better for them now than
it was under
>>>>> Saddam
>>>>> Hussein, according to a British opinion poll published today.
>>>>>
>>>> Considering almost no good news is reported by the enemy-abetting
>>>> US/World media, the truth still longs to be free.
>>>>
>>>> - Richard
>>> This is reported by the Media thus.....? Oh the joys of a good paranoid
>>> conspiracy.
>>
>> Well we do appear to have two polls with radically different findings. I
>> suppose this one is the media conspiracy poll ;-)
>>
>> http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/ap/politics/4642933.html
>> Among the findings of this survey for ABC News, USA Today, the BBC and
>> ARD German TV:
>>
>> _The number of Iraqis who say their own life is going well has dipped
>> from 71 percent in November 2005 to 39 percent now.
>>
>> _About three-fourths of Iraqis report feelings of anger, depression and
>> difficulty concentrating.
>>
>> _More than half of Iraqis have curtailed activities like going out of
>> their homes, going to markets or other crowded places and traveling
>> through police checkpoints.
>>
>> _Only 18 percent of Iraqis have confidence in U.S. and coalition troops,
>> and 86 percent are concerned that someone in their household will be a
>> victim of violence.
>>
>> _Slightly more than half of Iraqis - 51 percent - now say that violence
>> against U.S. forces is acceptable - up from 17 percent who felt that way
>> in early 2004. More than nine in 10 Sunni Arabs in Iraq now feel this
>> way.
>>
>> _While 63 percent said they felt very safe in their neighborhoods in late
>> 2005, only 26 percent feel that way now.
>>
>> The major cause for this sharp reversal in Iraqi attitudes is the
>> continuing violence - bombings, attacks by roving gunmen and
>> kidnappings - that has overwhelmed the country since the U.S. invasion
>> four years ago this week.
>>
>> Eighty percent of Iraqis surveyed reported some kind of violence nearby,
>> according to the nationally representative survey conducted Feb. 25 to
>> March 5 among 2,212 Iraqis, including oversamples - or additional
>> interviews - in Anbar province, the Sadr City section of Baghdad, Basra
>> and Kirkuk. Results were subject to a sampling error margin of plus or
>> minus 2.5 percentage points.
>>
>> Polling in a war-torn country can be more difficult because respondents
>> are fearful. ABC pollster Gary Langer said the interviewers were
>> experienced in polling in such situations and the questionnaire was
>> extensive and carefully translated, adding that those who were afraid
>> could just refuse to participate. The survey was done by D3 Systems, a
>> pollster specializing in conflict countries.
>>
>> Iraqi civilian deaths are estimated at more than 54,000, possibly much
>> higher. More than half of Iraqis surveyed said a friend or relative has
>> been hurt or killed in the violence, while almost nine in 10 worried that
>> a loved one will be hurt.
>>
>> The levels of stress soar outside relatively peaceful Kurdistan,
>> especially in Baghdad and the Sunni-dominated Anbar province, the poll
>> found.
>>
>> Fewer than half in the country, 42 percent, said that life in Iraq now is
>> better than it was under Saddam Hussein, the late dictator accused of
>> murdering tens of thousands during a brutal regime.
>>
>> Iraqis pessimism about safety spills over into their views of most
>> aspects of life - the economy, basic needs like power and clean water,
>> even the risks of sending their children to school.
>>
>> But views of the U.S. military presence are contradictory among Iraqis -
>> just as they are in this country.
>>
>> About four in five Iraqis oppose the presence of U.S. troops but only a
>> third want those U.S. troops to leave Iraq immediately.
>>
>> Conducting the face-to-face poll was a difficult ordeal in such a violent
>> country. More than 100 Iraqi interviewers conducted the poll and some
>> reported seeing bombings, beatings and even a mass kidnapping. Several
>> teams of interviewers were detained by police - but every interviewer
>> made it home safely.
>>
>>
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