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echo: barktopus
to: Tony Williams
from: Geo
date: 2005-11-23 18:55:26
subject: Re: Greetings From Idiot America

From: "Geo" 

"Tony Williams"  wrote in message
news:4384d44a$1{at}w3.nls.net...

> What I was trying to say is something along the lines of "you can't
> accurately forecast the result of a single coin toss before it's landed".

And what I'm trying to say is that if you know the amount of force being
used, air flows, gravity, and to make it simple the coin is going to land
on a soft surface so it doesn't bounce, you most certainly can predict it,
it's simple mathematics. If you were smarter you could predict it in under
even less "predictable" circumstances.

> It gets me when people think that the odds of a coin coming up heads on
> a single toss increases when it's come up tails a few times in a row.

Thats what I never could believe with statistics, if you look at just one
toss the odds are 50/50 but if you look at 3 consecutive tosses the odds on
the third one are not 50/50.

Geo.

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