From: Ad 

Richard B. wrote:
> On Tue, 3 Apr 2007 21:55:23 +0100, "Phil Payne"
>  wrote:
>
>> And you think the result of that will not be a war?
>
> No, I don't think so.  Certainly nothing like the current one in Iraq.
> No one really knows the future.
>

Much much worse than the one in Iraq. Iran is much bigger, has not been
subject to years of mil sanctions, has a lot of recent mil experience esp
in irregular warfare etc.etc.

Also unlike Iraq, Iran is truly a geo-strategic country. Look at it's
borders & think of flames reaching that region. From one end of the
Gulf to the other, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Central Asia etc. all going up.

E.g. simply take central asian/caspian & persian gulf oil off the market
& wait....esp given in times of trouble people will be looking to
stockpile the available supply.

> But we know the past and very few want to return to the 7th century.
>

Noone is looking for that.

Adam

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