ACUS03 KWNS 101855
SWODY3
SPC AC 101855
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1255 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2025
Valid 121200Z - 131200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated, non-severe thunderstorms are possible near coastal
southeast Louisiana during the early morning Monday.
...Coastal LA...
A drifting mid-level impulse over northern Mexico will finally eject
east-northeast into the northwest Gulf Coast vicinity as an upper
trough amplifies in the West. While this impulse should dampen, it
will support weak cyclogenesis and renewed low-level warm-moist
advection across the northwest Gulf towards the north-central Gulf
Coast. Guidance indicates a surge of rich moisture with 60s surface
dew points should approach coastal LA by Sunday night as a
pronounced baroclinic zone becomes established. Mid-level lapse
rates should not be as poor as on D1, but still weak enough to yield
only scant elevated buoyancy near the coast. Scattered thunderstorms
are expected in the offshore waters overnight. The northern extent
of this activity may brush far southeast LA by early morning Monday.
..Grams.. 01/10/2025
$$
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