ACUS11 KWNS 052120
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052119=20
LAZ000-TXZ000-052245-

Mesoscale Discussion 0014
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0319 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025

Areas affected...central Louisiana into far southeast Texas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 1...

Valid 052119Z - 052245Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 1 continues.

SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to pose a
risk for damaging wind gusts and a couple tornadoes from central
Louisiana into far southeast Texas the remainder of the afternoon.

DISCUSSION...A QLCS just ahead of an eastward-advancing cold front
will continue to pose a risk for isolated damaging gusts and a
couple of tornadoes, especially across central Louisiana, over the
next few hours. Additional more semi-discrete cells have developed
across the modestly unstable warm sector ahead of the QLCS. This
activity is occurring in a strongly sheared environment, supporting
organized convection with intermittent rotation. However, stronger
surface pressure falls and large-scale ascent will continue to shift
northeast of this area. This may ultimately result in a somewhat
suppressed severe risk compared to areas to the northeast across
northeast LA into western MS.

..Leitman.. 01/05/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!60I6KUzrYdE9WA1HS-IW67j57jc4awPBytWbtV-tQK6tStaQhi2FKZWhDmjPHfbuWO-klYNUO=
zYME3Eqsk7qQkbtbDw$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...HGX...

LAT...LON   31989299 32149279 32159229 32059201 31839194 31269210
            30859237 30369289 30109400 30069458 30329477 31989299=20


=3D =3D =3D
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