ACUS11 KWNS 050751
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050751=20
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-051245-

Mesoscale Discussion 0003
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0151 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025

Areas affected...north-central to northeast Kansas into far
west-central Missouri

Concerning...Heavy snow=20

Valid 050751Z - 051245Z

SUMMARY...Localized snowfall rates exceeding 1 inch per hour
expected by 09Z with widespread heavy snow after 11Z.

DISCUSSION...A broad precipitation field extends from central Kansas
to western Illinois within a broad region of strong isentropic
ascent. Most of this precipitation has been mixed phase thus far,
but a larger region of heavy snow is expected within the next 1 to 2
hours. The initial signs of this development can be seen in regional
composite radar across central Kansas as the precipitation shield
expands into the cold air as strong frontogenesis pivots across the
state. Expect a more sharp precipitation type gradient across Kansas
by 10-11 UTC as the frontal zone becomes better defined with the
strengthening mid-latitude cyclone. This should result in a
southeastward shift of the rain/snow line with more of
central/east-central Kansas switching to all snow. As the
mid-latitude cyclone continues to strengthen and high pressure
across the northern Plains continues to shift south, the pressure
gradient will strengthen, particularly across northern Kansas with
some localized blizzard conditions possible by daybreak. More
widespread blizzard conditions are expected during the day along the
I-70 corridor from Salina to Kansas City.

..Bentley.. 01/05/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!43hRkWCESvh9zwls8Uo0vlmf3QxAg9v8QLP4J42bkaLG45pgyJoBZba03W8Ihh_9oiFMVijsV=
va_YNZbF6Ir97QbEHo$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON   38659617 38259711 38239851 38420010 38780016 39309985
            39989887 40019577 39989512 39869431 39669407 39399415
            39119449 38679609 38659617=20


=3D =3D =3D
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