On Mon, 29 Mar 2021 06:32:38 -0400
Paul  wrote:

> The Natural Philosopher wrote:
> > On 29/03/2021 00:17, Ahem A Rivet's Shot wrote:
> >> On Sun, 28 Mar 2021 21:52:22 +0200
> >> Axel Berger  wrote:
> >>
> >>> Ahem A Rivet's Shot wrote:
> >>>>          Fortunately population growth curves are usually
> >>>> sigmoid not exponential - they resemble exponential curves very
> >>>> closely right up until some limit starts to bite and then they
> >>>> flatten very quickly.
> >>>
> >>> True. But when that point is reached and you live cramped up
> >>> against a fixed limit things tend become rather uncomfortable.
> >>
> >>     Yep but not as uncomfortable as one per square metre. That
> >> being said it's not at all clear that the curve flattens because
> >> the limits are actually reached, after all the fall in growth in
> >> first world countries started to be noticeable by the early 1980s
> >> (I recall billboards in France
> >> that read (translated) "France Needs Babies" some time in
> >> 1980/81). So something starts the downward curve well before real
> >> limits are hit (France
> >> was far from the most crowded or stressed country at the time).
> >>
> >>     Still with around ten billion of us expected at peak I expect
> >> it will get a little tight in places.
> >>
> > At the population density pandemics are not an if but a when...
> > This is just a dry run
>
> Hygiene practices make a big difference.
>
> How much seasonal flu is in your area right now ?
> I don't even need to look it up. It's zero.
>

Occam's Razor says that there is a simpler explanation than 'hygiene'.

--
Joe

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05