The Natural Philosopher wrote:
> On 29/03/2021 00:17, Ahem A Rivet's Shot wrote:
>> On Sun, 28 Mar 2021 21:52:22 +0200
>> Axel Berger wrote:
>>
>>> Ahem A Rivet's Shot wrote:
>>>> Fortunately population growth curves are usually sigmoid not
>>>> exponential - they resemble exponential curves very closely right up
>>>> until some limit starts to bite and then they flatten very quickly.
>>>
>>> True. But when that point is reached and you live cramped up against a
>>> fixed limit things tend become rather uncomfortable.
>>
>> Yep but not as uncomfortable as one per square metre. That being
>> said it's not at all clear that the curve flattens because the limits are
>> actually reached, after all the fall in growth in first world countries
>> started to be noticeable by the early 1980s (I recall billboards in
>> France
>> that read (translated) "France Needs Babies" some time in 1980/81). So
>> something starts the downward curve well before real limits are hit
>> (France
>> was far from the most crowded or stressed country at the time).
>>
>> Still with around ten billion of us expected at peak I expect it
>> will get a little tight in places.
>>
> At the population density pandemics are not an if but a when...
> This is just a dry run
Hygiene practices make a big difference.
How much seasonal flu is in your area right now ?
I don't even need to look it up. It's zero.
Paul
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