On 29/03/2021 00:17, Ahem A Rivet's Shot wrote:
> On Sun, 28 Mar 2021 21:52:22 +0200
> Axel Berger  wrote:
>
>> Ahem A Rivet's Shot wrote:
>>>          Fortunately population growth curves are usually sigmoid not
>>> exponential - they resemble exponential curves very closely right up
>>> until some limit starts to bite and then they flatten very quickly.
>>
>> True. But when that point is reached and you live cramped up against a
>> fixed limit things tend become rather uncomfortable.
>
>  Yep but not as uncomfortable as one per square metre. That being
> said it's not at all clear that the curve flattens because the limits are
> actually reached, after all the fall in growth in first world countries
> started to be noticeable by the early 1980s (I recall billboards in France
> that read (translated) "France Needs Babies" some time in 1980/81). So
> something starts the downward curve well before real limits are hit (France
> was far from the most crowded or stressed country at the time).
>
>  Still with around ten billion of us expected at peak I expect it
> will get a little tight in places.
>
At the population density pandemics are not an if but a when...
This is just a dry run


--
Climate is what you expect but weather is what you get.
Mark Twain

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